← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $10.6k on No, at a price that gave it a 40% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.6k
BUY No @ 40¢ · 26,501 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet dante89 took No (buy) for $10.6k at an average 40¢. At that price the market implied a 40% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.6k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 40¢ means
40%chance the market gave
+150American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 40¢
- Implied odds
- 40.1%
- Size
- $10.6k
- Placed
- Jun 13, 11:15 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 17, 20:32 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- dante89
- Tx
- 0x99bf267e…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-40.1 pts
expected 0.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -40 ptsNo price · entry 40¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $45.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $99.9k 3.1× usual |
excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $31.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.3k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $58.7k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $141.9k | excluded |