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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.0 wins, so it did -1.1 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-1.1 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
1.0
Flagged volume
$27.9k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±35.3 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$38.0k
Last 30 days +$0 · $3.30M volume · 728 trades · since Jun 20, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$247.7k
Open P&L · 91 positions
−$257.4k
Closed-position win rate
59%
263 closed
Wallet age · markets
491d
409 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | -48.2 pts |
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | +46.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance | LOW BUY England @ 54¢ | $12.1k | called |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 52¢ | $15.8k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xd9ffb3…