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coinfun

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?−$1,189Yes · avg 27¢ → 18¢ · $2,244
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$100.8k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$28.9k
Last 30 days −$1,005 · $12.79M volume · 10,908 trades · since Sep 08, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$21.8k
Open P&L · 60 positions
−$53.2k
Closed-position win rate
77%
87 closed
Wallet age · markets
411d
147 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 96.1¢ $16.9k4% 130d agomissed
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 97¢ $12.5k97% 131d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 90.4¢ $18.4k90% 131d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 73¢ $18.4k27% 131d agomissed
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 71¢ $17.7k71% 131d agocalled
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 70¢ $17.0k30% 131d agoexcluded

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