Weekly report card

Week 2025-45

Nov 03, 00:00 EST – Nov 09, 23:59 EST · markets that resolved this week

← 2025-44

Price-adjusted edge

+3.7 pts

Called

246/348

Expected from price

233.1

Std. error

±1.6

In week 2025-45, 348 graded flags resolved. The flagged side won 246 times; entry prices implied 233.1. Whales beat the price by +3.7 pts. One week is a small sample.

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	MED BUY Yes @ 91¢	$327.5k 4.8× usual	91%	edenmoon	359d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 93.4¢	$300.0k	93%	0xba66…f59d	364d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 95.1¢	$297.0k 4.3× usual	95%	edenmoon	362d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	MED BUY Yes @ 92¢	$275.5k 9.2× usual	92%	Batundi	353d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 90.8¢	$257.4k	91%	0xba66…f59d	359d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	MED BUY Yes @ 87¢	$223.0k 9.2× usual	87%	33923189	382d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	MED BUY Yes @ 88¢	$190.2k	88%	0xb0a8…5ea0	360d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	MED BUY Yes @ 89¢	$144.7k 13.1× usual	89%	VEQT	359d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	MED BUY Yes @ 88¢	$143.0k 2.5× usual	88%	0x9c99…7250	382d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	MED BUY Yes @ 93.2¢	$119.6k	93%	0x1ce4…fbd1	367d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	MED BUY Yes @ 93.1¢	$115.7k	93%	0x7fa9…846c	365d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	MED BUY Yes @ 91¢	$111.3k 4.8× usual	91%	swag37	360d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	MED SELL Yes @ 91¢	$100.1k	9%	0x3cda…6e17	354d ago	missed
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	LOW BUY Yes @ 92.8¢	$100.0k	93%	0x9c99…7250	369d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	MED BUY Yes @ 93¢	$95.2k	93%	0x9c99…7250	368d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	MED BUY Yes @ 90¢	$92.8k	90%	0xd538…b9fd	371d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	LOW BUY Yes @ 94.8¢	$92.4k	95%	0x06c4…6a12	356d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	MED BUY Yes @ 94.8¢	$82.5k 5.8× usual	95%	Dead-Skylightt	357d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	LOW BUY Yes @ 88¢	$82.0k	88%	0x9c99…7250	382d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	MED BUY Yes @ 90.7¢	$80.3k 3.5× usual	91%	GoriIIa PROVEN	353d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	MED SELL Yes @ 93.5¢	$77.7k 2.9× usual	7%	Kickstand7	368d ago	missed
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	MED BUY No @ 11¢	$73.9k	11%	toytrucks	359d ago	missed
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	MED BUY Yes @ 89¢	$68.8k	89%	0x9c99…7250	384d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	MED BUY Yes @ 91.7¢	$67.2k 2.1× usual	92%	wkmfa518	354d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	LOW BUY Yes @ 94.7¢	$66.9k 3.4× usual	95%	0xf559…f462	354d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	LOW BUY Yes @ 94.5¢	$66.3k	95%	0x8f0d…8f51	358d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	LOW BUY Yes @ 92.5¢	$65.8k	92%	0x9c99…7250	368d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	MED BUY Yes @ 89¢	$62.0k	89%	0x9c99…7250	384d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	LOW BUY Yes @ 88¢	$60.0k 3.0× usual	88%	0xb532…7028	374d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	LOW BUY Yes @ 92.6¢	$58.5k	93%	0x1ce4…fbd1	367d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	MED BUY Yes @ 87¢	$57.0k	87%	0x8f0d…8f51	387d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	MED BUY Yes @ 89¢	$56.7k	89%	0x9c99…7250	381d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	LOW BUY Yes @ 94.2¢	$56.5k	94%	0xa5c9…fbfd	354d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	MED BUY Yes @ 94.5¢	$54.1k 2.1× usual	95%	SwissMiss LOSING	354d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	MED BUY Yes @ 91.7¢	$51.4k 2.0× usual	92%	SwissMiss LOSING	354d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	LOW BUY Yes @ 90.5¢	$50.6k	90%	0x8f0d…8f51	361d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	MED SELL Yes @ 72¢	$50.2k	28%	0x063b…0711	465d ago	missed
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	LOW BUY Yes @ 93.2¢	$49.8k	93%	0x07fd…bb4b	366d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	LOW BUY Yes @ 88¢	$49.5k	88%	0xe1ea…f9bd	372d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	LOW BUY Yes @ 88¢	$49.4k	88%	0xfcb4…d214	372d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	LOW BUY Yes @ 88¢	$49.4k	88%	0xcda2…6386	372d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	MED BUY Yes @ 94¢	$47.3k 2.0× usual	94%	GoriIIa PROVEN	358d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	LOW BUY Yes @ 89¢	$46.7k	89%	frenchlaundry	375d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	MED BUY Yes @ 88¢	$45.6k	88%	33923189	372d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	MED BUY Yes @ 83¢	$45.0k	83%	0x9c99…7250	403d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	MED BUY Yes @ 95.3¢	$44.8k	95%	0x6550…d966	361d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	MED BUY Yes @ 88¢	$43.9k	88%	aff3 PROVEN	396d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	MED BUY Yes @ 94.8¢	$43.8k	95%	cqs	362d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	LOW BUY Yes @ 93.2¢	$43.5k	93%	0x9c99…7250	368d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	LOW BUY Yes @ 86¢	$43.1k	86%	0x39c0…e584	380d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	LOW BUY Yes @ 88¢	$43.0k	88%	0x392c…9c40	372d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	LOW BUY Yes @ 86¢	$42.3k	86%	0x4743…4e02	380d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	MED SELL Yes @ 68¢	$41.9k 2.6× usual	32%	0x7504…9c69	482d ago	missed
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	LOW BUY Yes @ 89¢	$40.5k	89%	0xdac8…eb85	359d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	LOW BUY Yes @ 94.6¢	$40.0k	95%	0x9c88…243e	357d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	LOW BUY Yes @ 95¢	$40.0k	95%	0x043a…4dec	357d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	LOW BUY Yes @ 95¢	$40.0k	95%	0xdacb…78cb	357d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	LOW BUY Yes @ 88¢	$40.0k	88%	0xb532…7028	376d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	LOW BUY Yes @ 95¢	$39.9k	95%	0x2721…aea3	357d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	LOW BUY Yes @ 90.6¢	$39.9k	91%	0xf0e7…22f6	360d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	MED BUY Yes @ 81¢	$39.6k	81%	ScottyNooo PROVEN	409d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	LOW BUY Yes @ 94.8¢	$39.6k	95%	0x3356…e2e9	357d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	MED BUY Yes @ 93.6¢	$38.9k	94%	Alder	358d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	MED SELL Yes @ 93.7¢	$36.6k	6%	0x1090…8104	355d ago	missed
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	LOW BUY Yes @ 91¢	$36.4k	91%	alliswell	359d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	LOW BUY Yes @ 95¢	$36.2k	95%	standagain	354d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	LOW BUY Yes @ 88¢	$36.0k	88%	0x9c99…7250	373d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	MED BUY Yes @ 88¢	$35.8k	88%	SwissMiss LOSING	359d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	MED SELL Yes @ 94.4¢	$35.3k	6%	0x1ce2…3c96	362d ago	missed
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	LOW BUY Yes @ 89¢	$35.1k	89%	0xcda2…6386	372d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	LOW BUY Yes @ 88¢	$34.5k	88%	0xb5be…ee79	360d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	LOW BUY Yes @ 81¢	$33.9k	81%	0xf83e…fe3a	445d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	MED BUY Yes @ 83¢	$33.3k	83%	0x9c99…7250	403d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	LOW BUY Yes @ 90¢	$33.1k	90%	SwissMiss LOSING	360d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	LOW BUY Yes @ 94.8¢	$32.9k	95%	0x3149…6807	357d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	LOW BUY Yes @ 91¢	$32.8k	91%	Qtyu	359d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	MED BUY Yes @ 88¢	$31.9k	88%	machbut	387d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	MED BUY Yes @ 91.5¢	$31.6k	92%	machbut	384d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	MED BUY Yes @ 92.8¢	$31.6k	93%	0xfcb4…d214	368d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	LOW BUY Yes @ 91.1¢	$30.2k	91%	UwO	354d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	LOW BUY Yes @ 91.8¢	$30.0k	92%	0xb532…7028	370d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	LOW BUY Yes @ 90¢	$30.0k	90%	machbut	386d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	LOW BUY Yes @ 95¢	$29.9k	95%	0xfee6…d97d	362d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	LOW BUY Yes @ 95.8¢	$29.9k	96%	Katello	361d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	LOW BUY Yes @ 95¢	$29.0k	95%	0xf83e…fe3a	363d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	MED SELL Yes @ 94.1¢	$28.8k	6%	Arlette	354d ago	missed
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	MED BUY Yes @ 90.2¢	$28.7k	90%	0xc250…8d6e	354d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	LOW BUY Yes @ 91¢	$28.7k	91%	0x4630…38c8	359d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	LOW BUY Yes @ 90¢	$28.7k	90%	0x8f0d…8f51	378d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	MED SELL Yes @ 70¢	$28.0k	30%	0x063b…0711	482d ago	missed
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	MED SELL Yes @ 88¢	$28.0k	12%	0x081d…c59c	373d ago	missed
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	LOW BUY Yes @ 88¢	$27.8k	88%	0xecf9…44bb	372d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	MED SELL Yes @ 94.5¢	$27.5k	6%	ponczyk	362d ago	missed
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	MED BUY Yes @ 94.9¢	$27.4k	95%	0xe5e6…c6db	354d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	MED BUY Yes @ 88¢	$27.0k	88%	swag37	360d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	LOW BUY Yes @ 90¢	$27.0k	90%	0x020b…d13c	378d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	LOW BUY Yes @ 78¢	$26.6k	78%	frenchlaundry	451d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	LOW BUY Yes @ 90.8¢	$26.2k	91%	waawaaa	360d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	MED BUY Yes @ 94.2¢	$26.0k	94%	Dead-Skylightt	357d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	LOW BUY Yes @ 91.5¢	$25.6k	91%	0x87c7…e71d	354d ago	called

Week 2025-45

By category

Best calls (lowest implied odds that won)

Biggest misses

Every graded flag

The graded brief, free