← Wallets
+$61No · avg 92¢ → 92.5¢ · $11.3k−$50No · avg 77¢ → 74¢ · $1,490+$258No · avg 80¢ → 97.3¢ · $1,450−$15Yes · avg 72¢ → 70¢ · $705+$91No · avg 83¢ → 96.5¢ · $669−$15Yes · avg 64¢ → 62¢ · $625−$11No · avg 75¢ → 74¢ · $588+$99No · avg 75¢ → 91.5¢ · $549 · 1 proven with, 0 against
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.8 wins, so it did +11.8 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+11.8 pts
Called / graded
2/2
Expected from price
1.8
Flagged volume
$39.9k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±22.7 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$52.1k
Last 30 days +$951 · $1.19M volume · 2,296 trades · since Oct 08, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 450 closed
+$87.9k
Open P&L · 26 positions
+$663
Closed-position win rate
100%
450 closed
Wallet age · markets
747d
981 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 2 | 2 | 1.8 | +11.8 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | MED BUY Yes @ 90.2¢ | $28.7k | called |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | LOW BUY Yes @ 86¢ | $11.2k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xc2503d…