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What this means. A wallet put $35.8k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 88% chance. It won. This wallet has a losing record: -17.7 pts vs the price over 33 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$35.8k
BUY Yes @ 88¢ · 40,419 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Politics
What happened
Wallet SwissMiss took Yes (buy) for $35.8k at an average 88¢. At that price the market implied a 88% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $35.8k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 88¢ means
88%chance the market gave
−766American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 88¢
- Implied odds
- 88.5%
- Size
- $35.8k
- Placed
- Oct 29, 12:09 EDT
- Market close
- Nov 04, 07:00 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- SwissMiss
- Tx
- 0xbeccdca9…
This wallet's graded record
22/33-17.7 pts
expected 27.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +12 ptsYes price · entry 88¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $22.4k | excluded |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $23.0k | excluded |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $33.3k | excluded |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $163.4k 6.5× usual |
excluded |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.7k | excluded |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $63.6k | excluded |