← Wallets
−$223Yes · avg 26¢ → 15¢ · $332
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.1 wins, so it did -12.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-12.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.1
Flagged volume
$46.6k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±32.5 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$32.1k
Last 30 days −$551 · $5.64M volume · 11,248 trades · since Oct 12, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 489 closed
−$31.3k
Open P&L · 2 positions
−$222
Closed-position win rate
66%
489 closed
Wallet age · markets
1108d
472 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | -12.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $33.3k | excluded |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 88¢ | $13.3k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xa60e25…