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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.1 wins, so it did -6.3 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-6.3 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.1
Flagged volume
$89.5k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±24.3 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$2,907
Last 30 days +$0 · $2.77M volume · 518 trades · since Jul 31, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$2,907
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
89%
172 closed
Wallet age · markets
450d
172 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | -6.3 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $53.0k | excluded |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | MED SELL Yes @ 93.7¢ | $36.6k | missed |
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<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0x10909359f9db92c8ea52c9533ebe05f903db8104"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0x10909359f9db92c8ea52c9533ebe05f903db8104.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x109093…