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0x7fa9…846c

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did +6.9 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?+$1No · avg 87¢ → 90¢ · $26
Price-adjusted edge
+6.9 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.9
Flagged volume
$115.7k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±25.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$22.2k
Last 30 days −$2,211 · $376.8k volume · 54 trades · since Aug 10, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$22.2k
Open P&L · 1 positions
+$1
Closed-position win rate
80%
20 closed
Wallet age · markets
805d
21 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Politics110.9+6.9 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?MED BUY Yes @ 93.1¢ $115.7k93% 366d agocalled

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x7fa9fb…