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Weekly report card

Week 2025-44

Oct 27, 00:00 EDT – Nov 02, 22:59 EST · markets that resolved this week

Price-adjusted edge
-21.8 pts
Called
12/32
Expected from price
19.0
Std. error
±6.5

In week 2025-44, 32 graded flags resolved. The flagged side won 12 times; entry prices implied 19.0. Whales did no better than the price (-21.8 pts). One week is a small sample.

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Politics321219.0-21.8 pts

Every graded flag

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?LOW BUY Yes @ 95¢ $28.5k95% 0x8795…7544359d agocalled
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?MED BUY Yes @ 77¢ $25.2k77% 0x5d1c…4d4d363d agomissed
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?LOW BUY No @ 92.1¢ $23.0k92% 0x7177…ddef359d agocalled
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?LOW SELL No @ 96.4¢ $21.6k4% sbimbg359d agomissed
Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?LOW BUY No @ 72¢ $20.6k72% GayPride504d agocalled
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?LOW BUY Yes @ 85¢ $20.0k85% 0xd34b…3acb363d agomissed
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?LOW SELL No @ 86¢ $17.2k14% gopfan2359d agomissed
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?LOW SELL Yes @ 96.2¢ $16.8k4% 0xaa01…f1df359d agomissed
Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?LOW BUY No @ 94¢ $15.3k94% burrito338358d agocalled
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?LOW BUY No @ 69¢ $15.0k69% 0x07d3…9bda359d agomissed
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?LOW BUY Yes @ 44¢ $15.0k44% 0x3965…766f359d agomissed
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?LOW BUY Yes @ 95¢ $14.2k95% 0x7177…ddef359d agocalled
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?LOW BUY Yes @ 86¢ $13.6k86% 0x036e…9276359d agocalled
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?LOW SELL Yes @ 95.6¢ $13.4k4% 0x9f35…4437359d agomissed
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?LOW SELL No @ 83¢ $13.3k17% gopfan2359d agomissed
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?LOW BUY Yes @ 79¢ $13.3k79% Dead-Skylightt377d agomissed
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?LOW BUY Yes @ 77¢ $13.1k77% 0xe61f…8bee368d agomissed
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?LOW BUY Yes @ 62¢ $12.9k62% lava-lava388d agomissed
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?LOW BUY Yes @ 97¢ $12.8k97% scottilicious PROVEN358d agocalled
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?LOW SELL Yes @ 93.6¢ $12.3k6% 0x0c73…257c358d agomissed
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?LOW SELL No @ 84¢ $12.1k16% tunatyler359d agomissed
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?LOW BUY Yes @ 95¢ $12.1k95% 0xc2a3…c3a6359d agocalled
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?LOW BUY Yes @ 84¢ $12.0k84% scottilicious PROVEN359d agocalled
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?LOW SELL Yes @ 95.7¢ $11.7k4% 0xfbd7…1778359d agomissed
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?LOW BUY Yes @ 77¢ $11.5k77% 0x827f…7f59372d agomissed
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?LOW SELL Yes @ 43¢ $11.0k57% 0x09f5…b88d359d agocalled
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?LOW BUY Yes @ 77¢ $10.9k77% 0xa6d7…9db4359d agocalled
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?LOW BUY Yes @ 74¢ $10.2k74% 0x5aa6…b0a1360d agomissed
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?LOW SELL No @ 62¢ $10.2k38% 0x96d4…ba93360d agomissed
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?LOW BUY Yes @ 88¢ $10.1k88% 0x3a69…a466359d agocalled
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?LOW BUY Yes @ 39¢ $10.0k39% 0xe405…bf91359d agomissed
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?LOW BUY Yes @ 77¢ $10.0k77% 0x04d7…bb2a362d agomissed

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Yesterday's biggest flags and how they graded. Misses included.