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−$10Movsar Evloev · avg 50¢ → 50¢ · $990−$89Yes · avg 14¢ → 12¢ · $685−$13Yes · avg 26¢ → 22¢ · $87
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did +12.4 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+12.4 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.9
Flagged volume
$10.1k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±32.9 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$126.7k
Last 30 days −$3,762 · $2.67M volume · 2,994 trades · since Aug 15, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$161.1k
Open P&L · 19 positions
−$48.5k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
800d
1125 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 1 | 1 | 0.9 | +12.4 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | LOW BUY Yes @ 88¢ | $10.1k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x3a69e6…