← Wallets
+$14Yes · avg 77¢ → 91.5¢ · $92−$69Yes · avg 66¢ → 34¢ · $71−$20Yes · avg 45¢ → 26¢ · $26+$13Yes · avg 40¢ → 84¢ · $24+$1Yes · avg 70¢ → 76¢ · $8
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.8 wins, so it did -76.5 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-76.5 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.8
Flagged volume
$45.9k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±42.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$59.8k
Last 30 days −$66 · $5.05M volume · 5,185 trades · since Mar 12, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$267.7k
Open P&L · 41 positions
−$205.3k
Closed-position win rate
74%
98 closed
Wallet age · markets
592d
136 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 1 | 0 | 0.8 | -76.5 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | LOW BUY Yes @ 92¢ | $20.8k | excluded |
 Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | MED BUY Yes @ 77¢ | $25.2k | missed |
Share this record
<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0x5d1c0e7ec9ef13fcaf08241b604d10f727154d4d"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0x5d1c0e7ec9ef13fcaf08241b604d10f727154d4d.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x5d1c0e…