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What this means. A wallet put $13.3k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 79% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$13.3k
BUY Yes @ 79¢ · 16,773 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Politics
What happened
Wallet Dead-Skylightt took Yes (buy) for $13.3k at an average 79¢. At that price the market implied a 79% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $13.3k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 79¢ means
79%chance the market gave
−376American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 79¢
- Implied odds
- 79.0%
- Size
- $13.3k
- Placed
- Oct 11, 15:05 EDT
- Market close
- Nov 02, 11:26 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Dead-Skylightt
- Tx
- 0x7b210626…
This wallet's graded record
4/5-1.1 pts
expected 4.1 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $13.1k | excluded |
| Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $230.3k 7.7× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $16.1k | excluded |
| Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $12.9k | excluded |
| Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $20.6k | excluded |
| Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ | $19.9k | excluded |