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What this means. A wallet put $16.8k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 4% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$16.8k
SELL Yes @ 96.2¢ · 17,489 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Politics
What happened
Wallet 0xaa01…f1df took Yes (sell) for $16.8k at an average 96.2¢. At that price the market implied a 4% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $16.8k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 96.2¢
- Implied odds
- 3.8%
- Size
- $16.8k
- Placed
- Oct 29, 21:19 EDT
- Market close
- Nov 02, 13:34 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0xaa01…f1df
- Tx
- 0xfde4b764…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-3.8 pts
expected 0.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -4 ptsYes price · entry 96.2¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.2k | excluded |
| Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $16.0k | excluded |
| Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $34.0k | excluded |
| Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.6¢ | $53.3k | excluded |
| Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.5¢ | $13.1k | excluded |