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What this means. A wallet put $28.5k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 95% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?called
$28.5k
BUY Yes @ 95¢ · 30,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Politics

What happened

Wallet 0x8795…7544 took Yes (buy) for $28.5k at an average 95¢. At that price the market implied a 95% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $28.5k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 95¢ means
95%chance the market gave
−1896American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
95¢
Implied odds
95.0%
Size
$28.5k
Placed
Oct 29, 22:09 EDT
Market close
Nov 02, 13:34 EST
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
0x8795…7544
Tx
0xe940afe5…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+5.0 pts
expected 0.9 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade +5 pts
Yes price · entry 95¢ · resolved Yes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 95¢ · $28.5k WHALE $28.5K @ 95¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

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