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What this means. A wallet put $12.1k on not No, at a price that gave it a 16% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.1k
SELL No @ 84¢ · 14,370 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Politics
What happened
Wallet tunatyler took No (sell) for $12.1k at an average 84¢. At that price the market implied a 16% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.1k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 84¢
- Implied odds
- 16.0%
- Size
- $12.1k
- Placed
- Oct 29, 17:57 EDT
- Market close
- Nov 02, 11:26 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- tunatyler
- Tx
- 0xb3cbfcdb…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-16.0 pts
expected 0.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -16 ptsNo price · entry 84¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $13.1k | excluded |
| Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $230.3k 7.7× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $16.1k | excluded |
| Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $12.9k | excluded |
| Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $20.6k | excluded |
| Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ | $19.9k | excluded |