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+$878No · avg 80¢ → 97.5¢ · $4,878+$43No · avg 74¢ → 78¢ · $1,043−$123Yes · avg 90.6¢ → 80¢ · $877
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.8 wins, so it did +23.4 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+23.4 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.8
Flagged volume
$10.9k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±42.3 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$7,030
Last 30 days +$104 · $1.18M volume · 719 trades · since Jun 30, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$3,189
Open P&L · 7 positions
−$7,625
Closed-position win rate
72%
134 closed
Wallet age · markets
846d
143 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | +23.4 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY Yes @ 77¢ | $10.9k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xa6d7d4…