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What this means. A wallet put $297.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 95% chance. It won. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$297.0k
BUY Yes @ 95.1¢ · 312,325 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $250kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)4.3× this wallet's usual betPolitics
What happened
Wallet edenmoon took Yes (buy) for $297.0k at an average 95.1¢. At that price the market implied a 95% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $297.0k+3
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 95¢ means
95%chance the market gave
−1934American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 95.1¢
- Implied odds
- 95.1%
- Size
- $297.0k
- Placed
- Oct 26, 12:08 EDT
- Market close
- Nov 04, 07:00 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- edenmoon
- Tx
- 0x7441aff5…
This wallet's graded record
3/4+2.5 pts
expected 2.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +5 ptsYes price · entry 95.1¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $22.4k | excluded |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $23.0k | excluded |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $33.3k | excluded |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $163.4k 6.5× usual |
excluded |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.7k | excluded |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $63.6k | excluded |