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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.7 wins, so it did +16.6 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+16.6 pts
Called / graded
2/2
Expected from price
1.7
Flagged volume
$147.9k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±26.0 pts std. error.
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 2 | 2 | 1.7 | +16.6 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President by April 30? | LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ | $74.6k | excluded |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | LOW BUY Yes @ 89¢ | $46.7k | called |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | LOW BUY Yes @ 78¢ | $26.6k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x1c3cdc…