← Wallets
+$44.2kNo · avg 50¢ → 80¢ · $119.2k−$44.2kYes · avg 50¢ → 20¢ · $30.8k
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did -29.6 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-29.6 pts
Called / graded
0/3
Expected from price
0.9
Flagged volume
$92.1k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±26.3 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$163.0k
Last 30 days +$0 · $3.23M volume · 1,665 trades · since Aug 14, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$163.1k
Open P&L · 2 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
66%
141 closed
Wallet age · markets
1893d
103 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 3 | 0 | 0.9 | -29.6 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | MED SELL Yes @ 72¢ | $50.2k | missed |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | MED SELL Yes @ 70¢ | $28.0k | missed |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 70¢ | $13.9k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x063bb5…