0x5e9c…cd75

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 3 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 2.2 wins, so it did +27.8 pts better than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?−$939Yes · avg 50¢ → 44¢ · $7,088 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House−$4,630Yes · avg 53¢ → 26¢ · $4,227 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?+$900Yes · avg 4.8¢ → 6.6¢ · $3,466 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?+$129Yes · avg 15¢ → 16¢ · $2,536 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?+$600Yes · avg 2.6¢ → 4.2¢ · $1,621 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?−$256Yes · avg 25¢ → 21¢ · $1,182 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?+$61No · avg 78¢ → 83¢ · $1,007 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?+$220Yes · avg 8¢ → 13¢ · $598

Price-adjusted edge

+27.8 pts

Called / graded

3/3

Expected from price

2.2

Flagged volume

$39.5k

Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±25.9 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

+$59.1k

Last 30 days −$4,189 · $29.59M volume · 57,152 trades · since Jun 10, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L · recent 500 closed

+$2.87M

Open P&L · 87 positions

−$4,213

Closed-position win rate

100%

500 closed

Wallet age · markets

501d

717 markets traded

By category

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Politics	3	3	2.2	+27.8 pts

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	LOW BUY Yes @ 72¢	$11.1k	72%	455d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	LOW BUY Yes @ 72¢	$13.9k	72%	456d ago	called
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	LOW BUY Yes @ 72¢	$14.5k	72%	471d ago	called

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?called

BUY Yes @ 72¢$11.1k

LOW 0x5e9c…cd75 · 455d ago

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?called

BUY Yes @ 72¢$13.9k

LOW 0x5e9c…cd75 · 456d ago

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?called

BUY Yes @ 72¢$14.5k

LOW 0x5e9c…cd75 · 471d ago

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