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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.8 wins, so it did +9.5 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+9.5 pts
Called / graded
2/2
Expected from price
1.8
Flagged volume
$81.0k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±20.7 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$4,152
Last 30 days +$0 · $275.6k volume · 21 trades · since Oct 16, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$4,152
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
67%
6 closed
Wallet age · markets
373d
6 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 2 | 2 | 1.8 | +9.5 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | MED BUY Yes @ 92.8¢ | $31.6k | called |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | LOW BUY Yes @ 88¢ | $49.4k | called |
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<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0xfcb47a60aee86464730aae9a8fe07b436ae7d214"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0xfcb47a60aee86464730aae9a8fe07b436ae7d214.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xfcb47a…