Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Who's on each side
Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.
| Side | All whales | Proven | Losing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | $2.86M 55 flags |
none | $195.8k 2 wallets |
| Not No | $1.31M 15 flags |
none | none |
| No | $701.5k 8 flags |
none | none |
| Not Yes | $472.6k 13 flags |
none | $81.7k 1 wallet |
A proven wallet on a side is a reason to look closer, not a verdict. Records come from past bets; see how to use this. Information, not advice.
Flags on this market
| Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $25.9k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.6k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $24.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $13.1k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $24.9k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $31.5k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.6k | excluded |
| MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $762.7k 5.1× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $147.8k 3.1× usual |
excluded |
| MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $153.8k 7.1× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.8k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.8k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.3k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $23.8k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 18¢ | $16.2k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 34¢ | $24.2k | excluded |
| HIGH BUY No @ 53¢ | $288.7k 6.9× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 43¢ | $42.5k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 46¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 51¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 51¢ | $50.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 43¢ | $12.1k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 57¢ | $14.1k | excluded |
| MED SELL Yes @ 60¢ | $34.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 65¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 63¢ | $35.3k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 64¢ | $52.0k | excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 76¢ | $112.7k 3.0× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 32¢ | $11.3k | excluded |
| MED SELL Yes @ 71¢ | $81.7k 4.2× usual |
excluded |
| MED SELL Yes @ 72¢ | $79.9k 2.8× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 25¢ | $20.2k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 79¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 79¢ | $28.8k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 79¢ | $19.6k | excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 15¢ | $46.6k | excluded |
| HIGH BUY Yes @ 85¢ | $114.7k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 86¢ | $86.0k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 86¢ | $17.2k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 90.3¢ | $65.0k 3.2× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 91¢ | $14.8k | excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 90.1¢ | $148.8k 5.2× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 90¢ | $24.3k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 90¢ | $16.9k | excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 90¢ | $133.2k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 90¢ | $88.6k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 90¢ | $51.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 91¢ | $45.5k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 91¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 91¢ | $11.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 91¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| HIGH BUY No @ 8.9¢ | $271.8k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 90¢ | $90.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 91¢ | $32.0k | excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 9¢ | $27.0k | excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 92¢ | $14.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 92¢ | $92.0k 4.2× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 92¢ | $10.7k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 92¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| MED SELL Yes @ 92¢ | $60.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 93¢ | $25.5k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 93¢ | $13.7k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 93¢ | $22.1k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 93¢ | $82.3k 2.4× usual |
missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 93¢ | $19.0k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 93¢ | $12.4k | missed |
| MED BUY Yes @ 93¢ | $12.0k | missed |
| MED BUY Yes @ 92¢ | $149.5k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 92¢ | $14.9k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 92¢ | $30.0k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 92¢ | $10.0k | missed |
| MED BUY Yes @ 92¢ | $102.1k 3.6× usual |
missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 92¢ | $24.7k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 92¢ | $15.0k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 92¢ | $10.5k | missed |
| MED BUY Yes @ 92¢ | $117.7k 2.4× usual |
missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 92¢ | $11.4k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 92¢ | $10.5k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 92¢ | $12.9k | missed |
| MED BUY Yes @ 92¢ | $18.0k | missed |
| MED BUY Yes @ 92¢ | $51.6k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 92¢ | $15.0k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 92¢ | $12.3k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 92¢ | $60.0k | missed |
| MED BUY Yes @ 92¢ | $90.0k 2.6× usual |
missed |
| HIGH BUY Yes @ 91.5¢ | $414.4k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 90¢ | $20.8k | missed |
| MED BUY Yes @ 92¢ | $105.8k 5.5× usual |
missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 91¢ | $13.7k | missed |
Summary
WhaleGrader has logged 91 whale trades on this market totalling $5.34M from 74 wallets. The largest was $762.7k (sell No at 99.9¢). Most whale money ($2.86M) went to Yes. 21 of 91 graded flags here called the outcome. The biggest whale here, skk1ch ($809.3k), has called 1 of 1 graded flags overall (+54.0 pts vs price).
Market data from Polymarket (fifwc-esp-cvi-2026-06-15-esp).