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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.8 wins, so it did -90.5 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-90.5 pts
Called / graded
0/2
Expected from price
1.8
Flagged volume
$37.1k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±20.7 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$89.1k
Last 30 days +$0 · $599.3k volume · 215 trades · since Feb 19, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$35.2k
Open P&L · 6 positions
−$53.8k
Closed-position win rate
78%
64 closed
Wallet age · markets
612d
68 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 0 | 0.9 | -88.0 pts |
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.9 | -93.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY Yes @ 93¢ | $22.1k | missed | |
| LOW BUY No @ 88¢ | $15.0k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xfae333…