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Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $11.6k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 91% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.6k
BUY Yes @ 91¢ · 12,730 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet cigarettes took Yes (buy) for $11.6k at an average 91¢. At that price the market implied a 91% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.6k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 91¢ means
91%chance the market gave
−1011American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 91¢
- Implied odds
- 91.0%
- As American odds
- −1011 no vig
- Size
- $11.6k
- Placed
- Jun 15, 11:47 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 15, 12:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- cigarettes
- Tx
- 0xeb304c3f…
This wallet's graded record
1/4-38.7 pts
expected 2.5 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -91 ptsYes price · entry 91¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $25.9k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.6k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $24.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $13.1k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $24.9k | excluded |