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What this means. A wallet put $11.6k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 91% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?excluded
$11.6k
BUY Yes @ 91¢ · 12,730 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet cigarettes took Yes (buy) for $11.6k at an average 91¢. At that price the market implied a 91% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $11.6k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 91¢ means
91%chance the market gave
−1011American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
91¢
Implied odds
91.0%
As American odds
−1011 no vig
Size
$11.6k
Placed
Jun 15, 11:47 EDT
Market close
Jun 15, 12:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
cigarettes
Tx
0xeb304c3f…
This wallet's graded record
1/4-38.7 pts
expected 2.5 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -91 pts
Yes price · entry 91¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 91¢ · $11.6k WHALE $11.6K @ 91¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $25.9k0% Jittz130d agoexcluded
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $20.6k0% acorp130d agoexcluded
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $24.0k0% Dreamwalker130d agoexcluded
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $30.0k0% vkvkgjerkgk130d agoexcluded
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $13.1k0% xfile130d agoexcluded
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $24.9k0% EsportsTrader01130d agoexcluded