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What this means. A wallet put $414.4k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 92% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$414.4k
BUY Yes @ 91.5¢ · 452,881 shares in 7 fills
Size ≥ $250kHeavy favorite7 fills in 1hSports
What happened
Wallet betoor619 took Yes (buy) for $414.4k at an average 91.5¢. At that price the market implied a 92% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $414.4k+3
7 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 92¢ means
92%chance the market gave
−1078American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 91.5¢
- Implied odds
- 91.5%
- As American odds
- −1078 no vig
- Size
- $414.4k
- Placed
- Jun 14, 17:48 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 15, 12:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- betoor619
- Tx
- 0x9b991a22…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-91.5 pts
expected 0.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -92 ptsYes price · entry 91.5¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $25.9k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.6k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $24.0k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $13.1k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $24.9k | excluded |