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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did -92.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-92.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.9
Flagged volume
$106.8k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±27.1 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$33.2k
Last 30 days +$0 · $226.2k volume · 28 trades · since Jun 14, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$6,658
Open P&L · 3 positions
−$31.3k
Closed-position win rate
50%
10 closed
Wallet age · markets
132d
13 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.9 | -92.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 66¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 92¢ | $30.0k | missed |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | MED SELL Yes @ 77¢ | $40.6k | excluded |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | LOW BUY Yes @ 49¢ | $26.0k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xb230f6…