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What this means. A wallet put $30.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 92% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$30.0k
BUY Yes @ 92¢ · 32,609 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteSports
What happened
Wallet 0xb230…6e5a took Yes (buy) for $30.0k at an average 92¢. At that price the market implied a 92% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $30.0k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 92¢ means
92%chance the market gave
−1150American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 92¢
- Implied odds
- 92.0%
- As American odds
- −1150 no vig
- Size
- $30.0k
- Placed
- Jun 15, 07:31 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 15, 12:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0xb230…6e5a
- Tx
- 0x59ce793f…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-92.0 pts
expected 0.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -92 ptsYes price · entry 92¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $25.9k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.6k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $24.0k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $13.1k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $24.9k | excluded |