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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.3 wins, so it did -62.7 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-62.7 pts
Called / graded
0/2
Expected from price
1.3
Flagged volume
$24.0k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±27.2 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$1,942
Last 30 days +$0 · $679.9k volume · 913 trades · since Mar 25, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$1,942
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
70%
101 closed
Wallet age · markets
213d
95 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 0 | 1.3 | -62.7 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY Yes @ 33¢ | $13.5k | missed | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 92¢ | $10.5k | missed |
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<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0x39ec0275b81a23b617171ebb86c9d552317406d3"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0x39ec0275b81a23b617171ebb86c9d552317406d3.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x39ec02…