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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did -92.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-92.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.9
Flagged volume
$50.6k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±27.1 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$11.8k
Last 30 days −$0 · $417.0k volume · 242 trades · since Mar 24, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$15.3k
Open P&L · 9 positions
−$26.8k
Closed-position win rate
80%
20 closed
Wallet age · markets
214d
29 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.9 | -92.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 92¢ | $12.3k | missed |
 Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | MED SELL Yes @ 95.2¢ | $25.4k | missed |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | LOW BUY Yes @ 95.9¢ | $12.9k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xe026d0…