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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.1 wins, so it did -2.8 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-2.8 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
1.1
Flagged volume
$224.6k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±21.9 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$295.1k
Last 30 days +$0 · $7.47M volume · 6,889 trades · since May 18, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$449.7k
Open P&L · 9 positions
−$154.6k
Closed-position win rate
87%
82 closed
Wallet age · markets
159d
91 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 1 | 1.1 | -2.8 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED BUY Yes @ 14¢ | $75.1k | called |
 Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | MED BUY Yes @ 92¢ | $149.5k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xa6cd83…