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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.2 wins, so it did +40.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+40.0 pts
Called / graded
2/2
Expected from price
1.2
Flagged volume
$47.2k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±34.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$45.4k
Last 30 days +$0 · $1.50M volume · 292 trades · since Jun 13, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$161.7k
Open P&L · 17 positions
−$108.9k
Closed-position win rate
94%
32 closed
Wallet age · markets
133d
50 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 2 | 1.2 | +40.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $18.0k | called |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ | $12.0k | called |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 86¢ | $17.2k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x447fec…