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Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $50.4k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 49% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?excluded$50.4k
SELL Yes @ 51¢ · 98,496 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet llllllllllllllllllllllll took Yes (sell) for $50.4k at an average 51¢. At that price the market implied a 49% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $50.4k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 51¢
- Implied odds
- 48.8%
- As American odds
- +105 no vig
- Size
- $50.4k
- Placed
- Jun 15, 13:42 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 15, 12:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- llllllllllllllllllllllll
- Tx
- 0x92150ac2…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+42.0 pts
expected 0.6 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $25.9k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.6k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $24.0k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $13.1k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $24.9k | excluded |