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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$136.4k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$23.1k
Last 30 days +$0 · $853.1k volume · 75 trades · since Jul 13, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$18.4k
Open P&L · 3 positions
−$4,582
Closed-position win rate
58%
19 closed
Wallet age · markets
833d
22 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | MED SELL Yes @ 60¢ | $34.9k | excluded |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | MED BUY Yes @ 92¢ | $90.0k 2.6× usual |
missed |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | LOW SELL Yes @ 73¢ | $11.6k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x42c9c2…