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Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Resolved: No
Flags
71
Net whale flow → Yes
−$154.7k
Yes 7d ago → now
—
Category
Other
Live on this marketconnecting…
Loading the latest $10k+ trades from Polymarket…
Straight from Polymarket's public trade feed, refreshed every 10s while this tab is open. Grades appear after markets resolve. Information, not advice.

Who's on each side

Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.

SideAll whalesProvenLosing
No$887.4k
42 flags
$67.2k
2 wallets
none
Not No$720.1k
28 flags
$73.9k
1 wallet
none
Yes$12.6k
1 flag
none none

A proven wallet on a side is a reason to look closer, not a verdict. Records come from past bets; see how to use this. Information, not advice.

Flags on this market

FlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $10.3k0% 53534176d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $18.4k100% tphhh176d agoexcluded
LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ $49.0k
2.5× usual
0% tetrase176d agoexcluded
LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $188.7k
10.6× usual
0% yungstalin176d agoexcluded
LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ $18.8k0% lukny1410177d agoexcluded
LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ $13.1k0% pugdev177d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ $26.1k100% MisTKy PROVEN178d agoexcluded
LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢ $13.8k1% Folletin178d agoexcluded
LOW SELL No @ 99.1¢ $20.9k1% latinalover77178d agoexcluded
LOW SELL No @ 99.2¢ $16.1k1% cripes3178d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 98.8¢ $15.8k99% aviato178d agoexcluded
LOW SELL No @ 99.2¢ $10.9k1% StudentMoney179d agoexcluded
LOW SELL No @ 99.2¢ $38.2k
2.1× usual
1% KiernanMeister179d agoexcluded
LOW SELL No @ 98.8¢ $19.8k1% 0x8c66…44f3179d agoexcluded
LOW SELL No @ 99.4¢ $12.9k1% JJo179d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 97.9¢ $17.0k98% scout180d agoexcluded
LOW SELL No @ 97.3¢ $13.2k3% Obamnna180d agoexcluded
LOW BUY No @ 96.7¢ $10.2k97% StudentMoney181d agocalled
LOW SELL No @ 96.6¢ $19.0k3% StudentMoney181d agomissed
LOW BUY No @ 95.9¢ $15.7k96% yungstalin181d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 94.2¢ $19.8k94% 0xdamocles183d agocalled
MED SELL No @ 93.5¢ $29.9k
2.4× usual
7% Obamnna183d agomissed
LOW BUY No @ 95¢ $16.0k95% jocpolitic184d agocalled
LOW SELL No @ 92.6¢ $23.1k7% 0x293e…7674185d agomissed
LOW BUY No @ 93.8¢ $14.1k94% diadjaid185d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 94¢ $10.8k94% KiernanMeister185d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 91.4¢ $17.0k91% Votei14Voude22185d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 91.9¢ $19.3k92% yungstalin185d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 92.4¢ $10.2k92% yungstalin186d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 92.1¢ $15.0k92% Obamnna186d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 94.5¢ $24.0k95% Egozic86186d agocalled
LOW SELL No @ 94¢ $19.1k6% Obamnna186d agomissed
HIGH SELL No @ 95¢ $59.3k
2.2× usual
5% ArmageddonRewardsBilly PROVEN188d agomissed
MED SELL No @ 96.2¢ $14.6k4% ArmageddonRewardsBilly PROVEN188d agomissed
LOW SELL No @ 96.6¢ $13.5k3% HoldenBloodfeast189d agomissed
LOW SELL No @ 96.6¢ $12.4k3% Huludubu189d agomissed
MED BUY No @ 96.8¢ $105.6k
5.9× usual
97% yungstalin189d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 96.8¢ $11.9k97% aviato191d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 96.8¢ $18.6k97% lukny1410191d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 95¢ $26.6k95% stupid22192d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 94¢ $11.8k94% Enysu86192d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 92¢ $18.4k92% 0xdamocles192d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 92¢ $27.6k92% stupid22192d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 92¢ $13.1k92% Egon85192d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 91¢ $10.1k91% lordedward193d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 89¢ $13.5k89% Erasmus. PROVEN193d agocalled
MED BUY No @ 86¢ $27.6k86% Erasmus. PROVEN194d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 87¢ $18.0k87% Obamnna194d agocalled
LOW SELL No @ 85¢ $18.2k15% Obamnna194d agomissed
LOW BUY No @ 86¢ $14.7k86% tetrase195d agocalled
LOW SELL No @ 90¢ $17.7k10% 0x436f…2c7f195d agomissed
LOW SELL No @ 91¢ $22.1k9% 0xdamocles195d agomissed
LOW BUY No @ 93¢ $13.0k93% HoldenBloodfeast195d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 91.9¢ $38.8k92% whyhealwayswinning197d agocalled
MED BUY No @ 93¢ $27.9k93% PolBandit197d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 92¢ $24.6k92% 0xdamocles197d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 91¢ $42.5k
2.1× usual
91% jocpolitic197d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 90¢ $27.5k90% JJo197d agocalled
MED BUY No @ 89¢ $37.5k
2.1× usual
89% yungstalin198d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 93¢ $11.7k93% nedsta199d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 94¢ $15.3k94% 999ssf199d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 86¢ $17.2k86% Valen9199d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 82¢ $10.9k82% stupid22201d agocalled
LOW SELL No @ 81¢ $11.9k19% Obamnna202d agomissed
LOW BUY No @ 80¢ $10.3k80% pugdev203d agocalled
LOW SELL No @ 80¢ $10.3k20% YuriSparkov206d agomissed
LOW SELL No @ 69¢ $11.9k31% Obamnna209d agomissed
LOW BUY Yes @ 36¢ $12.6k36% nonoriginally211d agomissed
LOW SELL No @ 66¢ $11.5k34% just.some.guy.2026212d agomissed
LOW BUY No @ 70¢ $10.1k70% Llalalala213d agocalled
LOW BUY No @ 67¢ $33.2k67% ololololololololo216d agocalled

Summary

WhaleGrader has logged 71 whale trades on this market totalling $1.62M from 42 wallets. The largest was $188.7k (sell No at 99.8¢). Most whale money ($887.4k) went to No. 42 of 71 graded flags here called the outcome. The biggest whale here, yungstalin ($377.0k), has called 14 of 19 graded flags overall (+6.4 pts vs price).

Market data from Polymarket (kharg-island-no-longer-under-iranian-control-by-april-30-912).