← Wallets
−$140No · avg 85¢ → 82¢ · $3,260+$155Yes · avg 15¢ → 17¢ · $1,675−$15No · avg 66¢ → 64¢ · $645+$173Yes · avg 2.2¢ → 3.4¢ · $502−$55Yes · avg 72¢ → 61¢ · $305+$119Yes · avg 1.3¢ → 2.1¢ · $301−$22No · avg 64¢ → 60¢ · $298−$50No · avg 20¢ → 14¢ · $130
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$26.5k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$2,098
Last 30 days −$28 · $1.27M volume · 1,240 trades · since Sep 29, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$342
Open P&L · 25 positions
−$3,754
Closed-position win rate
68%
92 closed
Wallet age · markets
390d
112 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 96.6¢ | $13.5k | missed |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | LOW BUY No @ 93¢ | $13.0k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x8204c2…