← Wallets
−$135Yes · avg 23¢ → 5.5¢ · $42
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.2 wins, so it did -20.4 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-20.4 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.2
Flagged volume
$10.3k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±40.3 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$12.5k
Last 30 days −$15 · $154.4k volume · 71 trades · since Feb 28, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$2,380
Open P&L · 8 positions
−$14.8k
Closed-position win rate
37%
35 closed
Wallet age · markets
238d
42 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 0 | 0.2 | -20.4 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 80¢ | $10.3k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xa78bdc…