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What this means. A wallet put $11.7k on No, at a price that gave it a 93% chance. It won. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?called
$11.7k
BUY No @ 93¢ · 12,547 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet nedsta took No (buy) for $11.7k at an average 93¢. At that price the market implied a 93% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $11.7k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 93¢ means
93%chance the market gave
−1329American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
93¢
Implied odds
93.0%
Size
$11.7k
Placed
Apr 08, 02:13 EDT
Market close
Apr 30, 23:59 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
nedsta
Tx
0x72e40aaf…
This wallet's graded record
2/3+4.2 pts
expected 1.9 from price
Share this receipt

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $10.3k0% 53534176d agoexcluded
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $18.4k100% tphhh176d agoexcluded
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ $49.0k
2.5× usual
0% tetrase176d agoexcluded
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $188.7k
10.6× usual
0% yungstalin176d agoexcluded
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ $18.8k0% lukny1410177d agoexcluded
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ $13.1k0% pugdev177d agoexcluded