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+$77No · avg 96¢ → 97.5¢ · $5,077−$275Yes · avg 80¢ → 74¢ · $3,725−$9Yes · avg 85¢ → 84¢ · $1,991−$78Yes · avg 57¢ → 48¢ · $422
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$61.9k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$2,879
Last 30 days −$355 · $190.7k volume · 40 trades · since Mar 27, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$4,873
Open P&L · 7 positions
−$1,288
Closed-position win rate
94%
16 closed
Wallet age · markets
211d
23 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $20.5k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.1¢ | $20.4k | excluded |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | LOW BUY No @ 98.5¢ | $10.7k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x0d021d…