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What this means. A wallet put $49.0k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?excluded
$49.0k
SELL No @ 99.7¢ · 49,140 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side2 fills in 1h2.4× this wallet's usual betOther

What happened

Wallet tetrase took No (sell) for $49.0k at an average 99.7¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $49.0k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
99.7¢
Implied odds
0.3%
Size
$49.0k
Placed
Apr 30, 16:15 EDT
Market close
Apr 30, 23:59 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
tetrase
Tx
0x6b9bb0e0…
This wallet's graded record
7/8+20.7 pts
expected 5.3 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -0 pts
No price · entry 99.7¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.7¢ · $49.0k WHALE $49.0K @ 99.7¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $10.3k0% 53534177d agoexcluded
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $18.4k100% tphhh177d agoexcluded
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $188.7k
10.6× usual
0% yungstalin177d agoexcluded
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ $18.8k0% lukny1410177d agoexcluded
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ $13.1k0% pugdev178d agoexcluded
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ $26.1k100% MisTKy PROVEN178d agoexcluded