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What this means. A wallet put $26.1k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+8.5 pts over 35 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$26.1k
BUY No @ 99.5¢ · 26,185 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletOther
What happened
Wallet MisTKy took No (buy) for $26.1k at an average 99.5¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $26.1k+1
Near-certain price-2
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.5¢
- Implied odds
- 99.5%
- Size
- $26.1k
- Placed
- Apr 29, 01:41 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 30, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- MisTKy
- Tx
- 0xe5e71571…
This wallet's graded record
25/35+8.5 pts
expected 22.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +1 ptsNo price · entry 99.5¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $18.4k | excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $49.0k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $188.7k 10.6× usual |
excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $18.8k | excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ | $13.1k | excluded |