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What this means. A wallet put $26.6k on No, at a price that gave it a 95% chance. It won. This wallet has only 12 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$26.6k
BUY No @ 95¢ · 28,033 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet stupid22 took No (buy) for $26.6k at an average 95¢. At that price the market implied a 95% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $26.6k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 95¢ means
95%chance the market gave
−1900American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 95¢
- Implied odds
- 95.0%
- Size
- $26.6k
- Placed
- Apr 15, 00:03 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 30, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- stupid22
- Tx
- 0xb6be2b19…
This wallet's graded record
10/12-8.5 pts
expected 11.0 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $18.4k | excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $49.0k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $188.7k 10.6× usual |
excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $18.8k | excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ | $13.1k | excluded |