← Wallets
−$3No · avg 98.3¢ → 98.2¢ · $2,159
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did +9.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+9.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.9
Flagged volume
$66.6k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±28.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$26.9k
Last 30 days +$16 · $4.17M volume · 5,459 trades · since May 01, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$15.8k
Open P&L · 4 positions
−$11.1k
Closed-position win rate
89%
360 closed
Wallet age · markets
541d
356 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 1 | 0.9 | +9.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
 QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $24.5k | excluded |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | LOW BUY No @ 91¢ | $10.1k | called |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $21.5k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xb20ac3…