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What this means. A wallet put $22.1k on not No, at a price that gave it a 9% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$22.1k
SELL No @ 91¢ · 24,300 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet 0xdamocles took No (sell) for $22.1k at an average 91¢. At that price the market implied a 9% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $22.1k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 91¢
- Implied odds
- 9.0%
- Size
- $22.1k
- Placed
- Apr 11, 21:56 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 30, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0xdamocles
- Tx
- 0xbbf9ec90…
This wallet's graded record
2/2+11.0 pts
expected 1.8 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $18.4k | excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $49.0k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $188.7k 10.6× usual |
excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $18.8k | excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ | $13.1k | excluded |