← Wallets
+$2,061Yes · avg 87¢ → 94.5¢ · $26.0k · 1 proven with, 0 against+$105No · avg 84¢ → 86¢ · $5,985+$393No · avg 87¢ → 94.5¢ · $4,950−$52No · avg 93¢ → 91.5¢ · $3,202+$772No · avg 52¢ → 91.1¢ · $1,778+$396No · avg 14¢ → 88¢ · $471 · 1 proven with, 0 against+$54No · avg 30¢ → 96.4¢ · $78
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 1.8 wins, so it did +5.9 pts better than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+5.9 pts
Called / graded
2/3
Expected from price
1.8
Flagged volume
$214.9k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±21.5 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$53.7k
Last 30 days −$5,503 · $6.15M volume · 4,047 trades · since Apr 26, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$76.0k
Open P&L · 63 positions
−$70.6k
Closed-position win rate
72%
88 closed
Wallet age · markets
181d
120 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 3 | 2 | 1.8 | +5.9 pts |
History
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