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What this means. A wallet put $13.9k on not No, at a price that gave it a 18% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$13.9k
SELL No @ 82¢ · 17,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet 0x8c66…44f3 took No (sell) for $13.9k at an average 82¢. At that price the market implied a 18% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $13.9k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 82¢
- Implied odds
- 18.0%
- Size
- $13.9k
- Placed
- Jul 04, 16:27 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 30, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x8c66…44f3
- Tx
- 0x2800df4c…
This wallet's graded record
2/3+5.9 pts
expected 1.8 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $34.6k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $13.4k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $13.9k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $34.0k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |