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What this means. A wallet put $12.6k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 36% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.6k
BUY Yes @ 36¢ · 35,460 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet nonoriginally took Yes (buy) for $12.6k at an average 36¢. At that price the market implied a 36% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.6k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 36¢ means
36%chance the market gave
+181American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 36¢
- Implied odds
- 35.5%
- Size
- $12.6k
- Placed
- Mar 26, 09:48 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 30, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- nonoriginally
- Tx
- 0xdbbcdffc…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-35.5 pts
expected 0.4 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $18.4k | excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $49.0k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $188.7k 10.6× usual |
excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $18.8k | excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ | $13.1k | excluded |