999ssf

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did +6.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?+$506Yes · avg 94.7¢ → 97.9¢ · $15.2k Will StandX launch a token by June 30, 2027?+$9No · avg 97.5¢ → 97.7¢ · $6,355 StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?+$111No · avg 94.8¢ → 97.6¢ · $3,846 StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?+$43No · avg 96.4¢ → 97.7¢ · $3,145 Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?+$9Yes · avg 92.8¢ → 93.5¢ · $1,290 StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch?−$6No · avg 98.8¢ → 97.6¢ · $506 Will LYON Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?−$39No · avg 99¢ → 91.8¢ · $494 Will StandX launch a token by December 31, 2026?−$2No · avg 98¢ → 97.7¢ · $478

Price-adjusted edge

+6.0 pts

Called / graded

1/1

Expected from price

0.9

Flagged volume

$153.6k

Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±23.8 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

+$3,223

Last 30 days +$919 · $979.2k volume · 602 trades · since Mar 26, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

+$5,418

Open P&L · 35 positions

−$2,090

Closed-position win rate

83%

169 closed

Wallet age · markets

213d

183 markets traded

By category

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Other	1	1	0.9	+6.0 pts

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	LOW SELL No @ 98.2¢	$19.0k	2%	198d ago	excluded
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	LOW SELL No @ 98.7¢	$47.7k 2.6× usual	1%	199d ago	excluded
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	LOW BUY No @ 98.9¢	$17.9k	99%	199d ago	excluded
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	LOW BUY No @ 94¢	$15.3k	94%	199d ago	called
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?	LOW BUY No @ 97.1¢	$18.2k	97%	199d ago	excluded
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	LOW BUY No @ 98.1¢	$35.5k	98%	199d ago	excluded

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?excluded

SELL No @ 98.2¢$19.0k

LOW 999ssf · 198d ago

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?excluded

SELL No @ 98.7¢$47.7k

LOW 999ssf · 199d ago

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?excluded

BUY No @ 98.9¢$17.9k

LOW 999ssf · 199d ago

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?called

BUY No @ 94¢$15.3k

LOW 999ssf · 199d ago

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?excluded

BUY No @ 97.1¢$18.2k

LOW 999ssf · 199d ago

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?excluded

BUY No @ 98.1¢$35.5k

LOW 999ssf · 199d ago

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