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What this means. A wallet put $18.2k on No, at a price that gave it a 97% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?excluded
$18.2k
BUY No @ 97.1¢ · 18,775 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet 999ssf took No (buy) for $18.2k at an average 97.1¢. At that price the market implied a 97% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $18.2k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 97¢ means
97%chance the market gave
−3348American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
97.1¢
Implied odds
97.1%
Size
$18.2k
Placed
Apr 07, 20:07 EDT
Market close
Apr 15, 23:59 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
999ssf
Tx
0xc7e3cb37…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+6.0 pts
expected 0.9 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +3 pts
No price · entry 97.1¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 97.1¢ · $18.2k WHALE $18.2K @ 97.1¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $25.0k0% anoin123192d agoexcluded
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $10.9k100% ScottyNooo PROVEN192d agoexcluded
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $17.5k100% onekey09192d agoexcluded
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $30.1k100% esports095193d agoexcluded
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $52.2k0% sameday1193d agoexcluded
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $34.7k100% The Spirit of Ukraine>UM193d agoexcluded