← Live flags
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Resolved: No
Flags
51
Net whale flow → outcome 1
−$3.49M
Price 7d ago → now
—
Category
Economy
Live on this marketconnecting…
Loading the latest $10k+ trades from Polymarket…
Straight from Polymarket's public trade feed, refreshed every 10s while this tab is open. Grades appear after markets resolve. Information, not advice.
Who's on each side
Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.
| Side | All whales | Proven | Losing |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | $3.90M 46 flags |
$287.4k 1 wallet |
none |
| Not No | $413.8k 5 flags |
$203.4k 1 wallet |
none |
A proven wallet on a side is a reason to look closer, not a verdict. Records come from past bets; see how to use this. Information, not advice.
Flags on this market
| Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $50.2k 2.8× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $26.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ | $15.3k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $20.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $39.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $10.7k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $19.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $94.3k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $169.5k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $21.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $55.4k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $161.3k 4.3× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $89.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $280.7k 5.6× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $298.5k 12.3× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $38.7k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $11.3k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $14.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $260.7k 7.5× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $50.0k 2.7× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $11.5k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $49.7k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ | $12.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ | $44.7k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ | $29.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ | $36.7k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $59.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $19.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ | $15.7k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ | $79.4k 3.0× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ | $46.5k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.2¢ | $53.8k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.2¢ | $10.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.2¢ | $99.2k 2.7× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.2¢ | $99.2k 2.7× usual |
excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 99.3¢ | $287.4k 8.1× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ | $33.1k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $24.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $59.7k 3.1× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $19.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $89.8k 3.8× usual |
excluded |
| MED SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $113.6k 4.7× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $299.1k 5.9× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $20.1k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $141.1k 2.8× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $199.1k 3.9× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $99.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $10.7k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $500.6k 16.4× usual |
excluded |
Summary
WhaleGrader has logged 51 whale trades on this market totalling $4.31M from 35 wallets. The largest was $500.6k (buy No at 99.7¢). Most whale money ($3.90M) went to No. 46 of 51 graded flags here called the outcome. The biggest whale here, JAHODA ($757.8k), has called 8 of 9 graded flags overall (+5.7 pts vs price).
Market data from Polymarket (will-the-fed-increase-interest-rates-by-50-bps-after-the-july-2026-meeting).